NBA Playoff Series – Luck-Adjusted Ratings
2025-26 · Adjusted for 3-point shooting luck
First Round
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| DET | 101.0 | 96.3 | +4.6 | 105.8 | 98.6 | +7.2 |
| ORL | 96.3 | 101.0 | -4.6 | 98.6 | 105.8 | -7.2 |
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| BOS | 109.1 | 106.2 | +2.9 | 114.3 | 107.7 | +6.6 |
| PHI | 106.2 | 109.1 | -2.9 | 107.7 | 114.3 | -6.6 |
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| ATL | 98.9 | 116.1 | -17.2 | 104.7 | 115.6 | -10.8 |
| NYK | 116.1 | 98.9 | +17.2 | 115.6 | 104.7 | +10.8 |
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| CLE | 108.8 | 107.2 | +1.7 | 111.4 | 109.2 | +2.2 |
| TOR | 107.2 | 108.8 | -1.7 | 109.2 | 111.4 | -2.2 |
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| OKC | 121.7 | 104.6 | +17.1 | 124.0 | 105.9 | +18.1 |
| PHX | 104.6 | 121.7 | -17.1 | 105.9 | 124.0 | -18.1 |
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| POR | 99.6 | 112.0 | -12.4 | 106.3 | 106.9 | -0.6 |
| SAS | 112.0 | 99.6 | +12.4 | 106.9 | 106.3 | +0.6 |
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| DEN | 104.3 | 108.6 | -4.4 | 111.3 | 111.1 | +0.2 |
| MIN | 108.6 | 104.3 | +4.4 | 111.1 | 111.3 | -0.2 |
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| HOU | 100.4 | 103.0 | -2.5 | 106.0 | 102.2 | +3.8 |
| LAL | 103.0 | 100.4 | +2.5 | 102.2 | 106.0 | -3.8 |
Conference Semifinals
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| CLE | 109.6 | 108.1 | +1.4 | 111.9 | 106.7 | +5.1 |
| DET | 108.1 | 109.6 | -1.4 | 106.7 | 111.9 | -5.1 |
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| NYK | 126.9 | 104.2 | +22.7 | 120.3 | 109.5 | +10.8 |
| PHI | 104.2 | 126.9 | -22.7 | 109.5 | 120.3 | -10.8 |
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| LAL | 104.9 | 121.1 | -16.2 | 104.6 | 118.4 | -13.8 |
| OKC | 121.1 | 104.9 | +16.2 | 118.4 | 104.6 | +13.8 |
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| MIN | 97.1 | 112.2 | -15.0 | 99.8 | 112.2 | -12.4 |
| SAS | 112.2 | 97.1 | +15.0 | 112.2 | 99.8 | +12.4 |
Conference Finals
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| CLE | 97.5 | 116.4 | -18.9 | 105.7 | 116.6 | -10.9 |
| NYK | 116.4 | 97.5 | +18.9 | 116.6 | 105.7 | +10.9 |
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| OKC | 105.2 | 108.1 | -2.9 | 108.9 | 112.1 | -3.2 |
| SAS | 108.1 | 105.2 | +2.9 | 112.1 | 108.9 | +3.2 |
How it works: Offensive and defensive ratings are adjusted by replacing each team's actual 3-point makes with their statistically expected makes (based on shooter, shot location, shot type (e.g. catch-and-shoot vs. pull-up), and whether the shot is assisted or unassisted), then recomputing the score. This removes randomness from 3-point shooting variance, leaving a more stable estimate of team quality.
Shaded columns (Adj OffRtg, Adj DefRtg, Adj NetRtg) are luck-adjusted; the first two columns show unadjusted actuals for comparison.
In-progress series are highlighted in orange.
Generated 2026-05-29 15:22