NBA Playoff Series – Luck-Adjusted Ratings
2025-26 · Adjusted for 3-point shooting luck
First Round
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| DET | 101.0 | 96.3 | +4.6 | 107.0 | 100.0 | +7.0 |
| ORL | 96.3 | 101.0 | -4.6 | 100.0 | 107.0 | -7.0 |
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| BOS | 109.1 | 106.2 | +2.9 | 115.4 | 107.4 | +8.0 |
| PHI | 106.2 | 109.1 | -2.9 | 107.4 | 115.4 | -8.0 |
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| ATL | 98.9 | 116.1 | -17.2 | 106.1 | 116.2 | -10.1 |
| NYK | 116.1 | 98.9 | +17.2 | 116.2 | 106.1 | +10.1 |
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| CLE | 108.8 | 107.2 | +1.7 | 112.6 | 109.5 | +3.1 |
| TOR | 107.2 | 108.8 | -1.7 | 109.5 | 112.6 | -3.1 |
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| OKC | 121.7 | 104.6 | +17.1 | 122.9 | 104.6 | +18.3 |
| PHX | 104.6 | 121.7 | -17.1 | 104.6 | 122.9 | -18.3 |
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| POR | 99.6 | 112.0 | -12.4 | 106.5 | 107.6 | -1.1 |
| SAS | 112.0 | 99.6 | +12.4 | 107.6 | 106.5 | +1.1 |
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| DEN | 104.3 | 108.6 | -4.4 | 111.4 | 111.7 | -0.4 |
| MIN | 108.6 | 104.3 | +4.4 | 111.7 | 111.4 | +0.4 |
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| HOU | 100.4 | 103.0 | -2.5 | 106.4 | 103.4 | +3.0 |
| LAL | 103.0 | 100.4 | +2.5 | 103.4 | 106.4 | -3.0 |
Conference Semifinals
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| CLE | 109.6 | 108.1 | +1.4 | 112.4 | 107.1 | +5.3 |
| DET | 108.1 | 109.6 | -1.4 | 107.1 | 112.4 | -5.3 |
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| NYK | 126.9 | 104.2 | +22.7 | 120.2 | 110.2 | +9.9 |
| PHI | 104.2 | 126.9 | -22.7 | 110.2 | 120.2 | -9.9 |
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| LAL | 104.9 | 121.1 | -16.2 | 103.8 | 117.5 | -13.6 |
| OKC | 121.1 | 104.9 | +16.2 | 117.5 | 103.8 | +13.6 |
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| MIN | 97.1 | 112.2 | -15.0 | 100.3 | 112.6 | -12.3 |
| SAS | 112.2 | 97.1 | +15.0 | 112.6 | 100.3 | +12.3 |
Conference Finals
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| CLE | 97.5 | 116.4 | -18.9 | 107.1 | 116.8 | -9.7 |
| NYK | 116.4 | 97.5 | +18.9 | 116.8 | 107.1 | +9.7 |
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| OKC | 105.7 | 109.3 | -3.6 | 109.0 | 110.8 | -1.8 |
| SAS | 109.3 | 105.7 | +3.6 | 110.8 | 109.0 | +1.8 |
NBA Finals
|
OffRtg |
DefRtg |
NetRtg |
Adj Off |
Adj Def |
Adj Net |
| NYK | 106.1 | 103.7 | +2.4 | 107.9 | 106.3 | +1.5 |
| SAS | 103.7 | 106.1 | -2.4 | 106.3 | 107.9 | -1.5 |
How it works: Offensive and defensive ratings are adjusted by replacing each team's actual 3-point makes with their statistically expected makes (based on shooter, shot location, shot type (e.g. catch-and-shoot vs. pull-up), and whether the shot is assisted or unassisted), then recomputing the score. This removes randomness from 3-point shooting variance, leaving a more stable estimate of team quality.
Shaded columns (Adj OffRtg, Adj DefRtg, Adj NetRtg) are luck-adjusted; the first two columns show unadjusted actuals for comparison.
In-progress series are highlighted in orange.
Generated 2026-07-19 15:10